Eventhough it was kept under the wraps, from the outset, the "Inderta" extremists have waged an anti-Eritrea movement with in the TPLF. These extremists designed the border encroachment in Bada and Badme in 1997, the printing of the new map of "Greater Tigray" (funded by GTZ ) in 1997, and the rush to judgment of the Ethiopian parliament in 1998 who declared war on Eritrea. The current situation envisages this reality; unseating the Adowans, controlling the war counsel of the Woyane/TPLF, and the dismissing of moderate members from MLLT. Many Tigrayans are quietly saying that whatU s happening is not for the good of Tigray and are getting more skeptical. But talking is not enough, elements of truth in Tigray should act before it is too late!
As we all know, Woyane/TPLF was founded in 1977 to free Tigray from the rule of Amhara and create an independent Tigrayan state but then stumbled southwards into Ethiopian territory, after a hard look at their confused agenda in 1988 which was impractical, and the sudden slump of the Derg after its successive defeat in Eritrea, thereby monopolizing the central power in Ethiopia , thanks to the support of our gallant EPLF units who made it possible for the TPLF to march into Addis Ababa. Woyanes refuse to admit, but it is this sudden monopoly that will undo their power in Ethiopia including Tigray. Ethiopians were not readied to accept the Tigrayan control of the center nor the Tigrayan masses were prepared to go beyond the borders of Tigray and sacrifice their children in the remote south. Woyane still controls all power positions in the government mainly in the army and clearly knows that the Amhara want its demise and thus have not abandoned their original agenda of creating"independent Greater Tigray", and are trying to conserve the Tigrayan army from the onslaught of the war by sacrificing innocent Ethiopians from other nationalities.
We can expect two things if the Woyane sparks the final battle against Eritrea: First, the defeat of the extremist Woyane/TPLF, allowing the elements of moderate TPLFUers to take over Tigray, but not be able to maintain balance of central powerin Ethiopia allowing the Oromo to take over "Finfine", Addis liberating Oromia and leaving the Amhara in limbo. The other possibility is that Tigray could be completely weakened by the war and submit to the strong new alliance of the Oromos, Ogadenians, and Sidamas who might forge a democratic balance in Ethiopia, leaving it and the former major power broker, the Amhara powerless. The Woyanes are finding it very difficult to even clarify their plan for Tigray leave alone maintain a balance in the more complex proper Ethiopia. Even Ethiopianists like Mamo Muche have recently become clairvoyant and have warned the demise of the Ethiopian union, because TPLF is failing to include opponents and are being irresolute without any vision for the future. Woyane has been trying to preempt the development by showing some preference to GojamUes, and contemplating to confederate with Djibouti and the Somaliland thus expanding their alliance and frontier.
The reality is, that Ethiopians do not want another war with Eritrea and are sick and tired to see the Woyane monopolize Ethiopia without any shame. First of all, in the eyes of Ethiopianists "it was the Woyane who gave up Eritrea without consulting Ethiopians" and they do not trust the motives of the Woyane to fight Eritrea and are having a hard look at their support for a war fearing Tigrayan hegemony in the region, thus warning of the importance of Eritrean power play in the region.
Currently, Tigrayan masses are in the state of stupor and are mortified to see ex-members of the Derg who committed unthinkable crimes freed from prison and coming to Tigray to lead the war against Eritrea and have an eerie feeling about the outcome of the final war against Eritrea.