Alarming climate prediction

Posted by: The Conversation

Date: Thursday, 18 May 2023

There’s a 98% chance of the hottest year on record coming in the next five years, and a 66% chance of exceeding the critical 1.5°C warming threshold for at least one of those years, according to the latest World Meteorological Organization update.

The prediction that an individual year above 1.5℃ global warming is more likely than not is alarming. Does this mean the Paris Agreement has already failed in its goal of keeping the global temperature increase below 1.5°C? No, but as Andrew King explains, it is a warning about how close we are to a disastrously hot planet if we don’t rapidly reduce greenhouse gas emissions to net zero.

Nelson Mandela and Winnie Madikizela-Mandela helped lead South Africa to democracy after relentless persecution by apartheid forces throughout their married life. They have come to occupy a mythological place in South African history. Now a major new book about their relationship explores their humanity, warts and all, yet also considers how they played a hand in building their own myths. Jonny Steinberg discusses his latest work.

John Watson

Cities Editor and Deputy Energy + Environment Editor

Global warming to bring record hot year by 2028 – probably our first above 1.5°C limit

Andrew King, The University of Melbourne

There’s a 98% chance of a record hot year by 2028, and a 66% chance of exceeding the 1.5°C threshold for at least that year, according to the latest World Meteorological Organization update.

Winnie and Nelson: new book paints a deeply human portrait of the Mandela marriage and South Africa’s struggle

Jonny Steinberg, Yale University

Jonny Steinberg talks about his intimate double biography of the famous South African leaders.

Talking to babies may contribute to brain development – here’s how to do it

John Spencer, University of East Anglia

Here’s how to get babies and toddlers chatting.


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