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Sham poll in Belarus carries grave implications

Posted by: The Conversation

Date: Friday, 24 January 2025

As Donald Trump settles into his second term in the White House, over in Eastern Europe, another leader is about to secure his seventh. In Belarus on Sunday, an election in name – but a formality in nature – will see Alexander Lukashenko “win” and be allowed to continue as president, a role he has held since 1994.

During that time, he has driven the country further and further away from democratic norms and down the road of repression. This election will take place with the backdrop of no genuine opposition, a ban on overseas voting, media bans, and the memory of a brutal crackdown on protests after the last national vote in 2020.

But as Tatsiana Kulakevich, an expert on Belarusian politics, writes, just because an election is a sham, that doesn’t mean it isn’t consequential. “For the people of Belarus, another term under Lukashenko would see the continuation of his suppression of freedoms and the increasing reliance on Russia for both political and financial stability.” Meanwhile, Lukashenko’s “loyalty to the Kremlin ensures that Belarus will remain a critical player in Russia’s broader geopolitical confrontation with NATO and the West,” writes Kulakevich.

In a separate article, Paul Edward Fisher explains how Lukashenko’s benefactor, Russia’s Vladimir Putin, was able to become his country’s “president for life,” too.

Elsewhere this week, we have been keeping an eye on South African police’s brutal tactics in the face of illegal miners and revisiting some lessons from history about the way humans, fire and ecosystems interact.

Matt Williams

Senior International Editor

Belarus’ Alexander Lukashenko is often described as ‘Europe’s last dictator.’ Getty Images

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