Saudi Arabia is poised for a profound strategic shift in the Horn of Africa region with its planned multi-billion dollar investment in Eritrea’s Assab port. The move not only positions Riyadh as a major player in the region, but also challenges the current dominance of other global powers such as the United Arab Emirates, Turkey and China within the vital Red Sea trade corridor
The investment in Assab would significantly disrupt Ethiopia’s maritime ambitions. Given Ethiopia’s landlocked status, its government led by Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed has long coveted access to the sea, viewing Eritrea’s ports as vital gateways.
Confidential reports suggest that Ethiopia may even consider military action to secure that access. However, Saudi Arabia’s involvement would deter such ambitions by enhancing Eritrea’s defense capabilities and economic stability, making any aggressive move by Ethiopia costly and politically untenable.
For Eritrea, an alliance with Saudi Arabia could serve as a preemptive strategy against Ethiopian military ambitions, ensuring that its sovereignty over Assab remains unchallenged. Such a partnership would not only strengthen Eritrea’s position, but could also alter regional power dynamics, potentially neutralizing Ethiopia’s influence over Red Sea access points.
The potential Saudi investment in Assab port is not just about economic development; it reflects a strategic realignment in the geopolitics of the Horn of Africa.
